Bookmakers have become incredibly efficient at pricing the NFL. Roster moves are highly publicized, data drives our talent evaluations and millions of eyes follow the action on the field each week. When evaluating regular NFL season win totals, it takes sharp eyes to catch a number that is even a half-game off.
Fortunately that’s where we come in. We’ve rounded up five NFL teams who are being overvalued or undervalued heading into the 2019 NFL season.
Baltimore Ravens: Under 8.5
This is my favorite play on the whole board. People are quickly realizing the deficiencies of quarterback Lamar Jackson, and the opportunity to bet against him won’t last forever. He is inaccurate and that just doesn’t work in the NFL. The Ravens will be tough defensively, but that won’t be enough to overcome their offensive struggles.
New York Jets: Over 7.5
The Jets appear committed to winning, after some major financial commitments to new players. They have added running back Le’Veon Bell and wide receiver Jamison Crowder, have a new coach and a new top guard on the offensive line in Kelechi Osemele, and have an easy schedule that is backl-oaded with winnable games.
— NFL Update (@MySportsUpdate) July 28, 2019
Detroit Lions: Under 6.5
The Lions don’t feel like a typical six-win NFL team, but they have three other teams in the NFC North that will make their entire season feel like a grind. They also start the season with games against the Chargers, Eagles and Chiefs. I think they can get to six wins, but they have too many toss-up and underdog games to get to seven.
Kansas City Chiefs: Over 10.5
Inevitably the best team in the NFL each year gets to at least 12 wins. The Chiefs are projected to be one of the best teams in the NFL this year, and I expect them to be one of the three teams that will easily hit over this number. With a high-flying offense, they should be able to parlay last year’s success into 2019.
Oh, Pat Mahomes is throwing dimes again?
— Roto Street Journal (@RotoStJournal) August 11, 2019
Philadelphia Eagles: Over 9.5
The Eagles are my pick to win the NFC East this year, and I’ll be shocked if they get it done with fewer than 10 wins. This is a very talented roster, and quarterback Carson Wentz, whose NFL MVP odds are +1200, is a tremendous leader. As long as they don’t have injury issues, the talent of the roster should guide this team to a successful campaign.