2019 Rose Bowl Betting - No.6 Ohio State vs. No.9 Washington
2019 Rose Bowl Betting No. 10 Ohio State Buckeyes (12-1) vs. Washington Huskies (10-3) Tuesday, January 1st – Pasadena, CA 5:00pm ET (ESPN) Betting Line: Ohio State -6.5 (57.5)Ohio State finished 12-1 but was inconsistent and a money loser going 6-7 ATS. Distractions to start the season included coach Meyer's suspension over the first three games. The Buckeye’s struggled at Penn State but escaped 28-27 in late September and two weeks later struggled against Minnesota to move to 7-0. The uneven play caught up to them the following week when Purdue pounded the Buckeyes 49-20. Another close call the following week at home in a 36-31 win over Nebraska started a 5-game winning streak to close the season. But after winning at Michigan State 26-6, the next week at Maryland really showed the Buckeyes' flaws on defense, allowing the Terrapins to score 51 points even Ohio State escaped again in overtime, 52-51. The Big Game against Michigan was a blowout, as the Buckeye’s blasted their rival as a home underdog 62-39 in a surprising score. Ohio State won the Big Ten Championship over Northwestern 45-24 to advance to the Rose Bowl.
The Buckeyes offense carried the team as QB Dwayne Haskins set multiple Big Ten pass records while passing for 4,580 yards and 47 touchdowns. The Buckeyes offense averaged 548.9 yards per game to rank No. 2 in the country, which will draw some attention from those laying action in 2019 Rose Bowl betting. Ohio State averaged 170 yards per game more than their opponents allowed, which was No. 2 in the country. The Buckeye’s schedule was soft with combined FBS opponents records of .462 and against eight bowl teams, OSU went 7-1 SU and 4-3-1 ATS while out-gaining them by 96 yards per game.
Washington struggled early season and lost their opener to Auburn, 21-16. The Huskies started 3-0 in the Pac-12 and blasted BYU between before losing again at Oregon in overtime, 30-27. Two weeks later a 12-10 loss at Cal was a grinding defeat before finishing the season with four straight wins capped by the rivalry win over Washington State 28-15 to win the Pac-12 North. They then beat Utah a second time this season in the Pac-12 title game, 10-3, to advance to the Rose Bowl.
Washington has the superior defense allowing 305.1 yards per game vs. FBS opponents to rank top-10 in the country. That’s 95 yards per game better on defense than Ohio State. The Huskies' stingy and talented secondary features a pair of All-American candidates and will make it tougher for OSU quarterback Haskins to have sustained success with a stronger pass rush. The Huskies defense allows just 4.6 yards per play to Ohio State’s 5.6 yards per play against a weaker schedule.
Washington’s FBS opponents had a win percentage of .538 and the Huskies finished 6-3 SU vs. bowl teams and 4-5 ATS while out-gaining them by 90 yards per game.
Rose Bowl Betting Trend: Ohio State is taking a steep portion of the action so far. The line may rise on game day and reach OSU -7, but I'm not buying the Buckeyes or the 'last game for coach Meyer' motivation angle. The Pac-12’s poor bowl performances and record this year (0-3 SU/ATS) and last year (1-8 SU/2-7 ATS) ends with the Huskies defense delivering the money.
2019 Rose Bowl Betting Pick – Washington Huskies +6.5
Fairway Jay is a professional handicapper based out of Las Vegas. He focuses primarily on the four majors along with college football and college basketball. You can follow him on Twitter @FairwayJay.