Scully’s NCAAF Week 11 picks: Big one at Bama
Defense is a concern for each squad. Alabama lost a pair of starting linebackers at the start of the season and its pass defense was faulty down the stretch last year. The difference may be Tua Tagovailoa’s ankle injury, with mobility a key asset for the strong-armed quarterback.
WATCH: Moments ago, #Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa at practice jogging, planting on wrapped right leg, and making throws. Nick Saban said he will be on snap count at practice and game time decision for Saturday. #RollTide #LSU @CBS_42 pic.twitter.com/OnVinJcff3— Simone Eli (@SimoneEli_TV) November 4, 2019
I like LSU to snap the losing streak, and these teams easily could meet again in the College Football Playoff.
Pick: LSU +6
TCU still has plenty to play for, and the Horned Frogs finally have some offensive balance, as Max Duggan threw for 278 yards in a double-digit win over Texas in their last home game. The freshman struggled at Oklahoma State last week, with three interceptions, but TCU was still in the game at the end and won’t have to stop a running back of Chuba Hubbard’s quality this week. The Horned Frogs will appreciate being back home and TCU is 6-1 ATS against Baylor in their last seven meetings.
Pick: TCU +2.5
This not the same Virginia Tech defense of years past. The Hokies have allowed 39 points per game in four ACC contests so far this season. They also feature a revolving three-way door at quarterback. Quincy Patterson made his first start in a 21-20 loss to Notre Dame last week, and Virginia Tech is receiving too much respect for the close result, given Notre Dame’s offensive woes in recent weeks. Virginia Tech will not be able to match points with high-scoring Wake Forest.
Pick: Wake Forest -2.5
This is too many points to lay with the Sooners. Oklahoma’s young offensive line has shown some vulnerability—the Sooners abandoned the running game against Kansas State—and that places pressure on quarterback Jalen Hurts. Iowa State has played Oklahoma tough of late, with a 30-point scoring average and 3-0 ATS record in their last three meetings.