The Euro 2020 qualifier of the window takes place in Reykjavik on Friday, October 11, when Iceland hosts the defending World Cup champions France. The winner will have an inside track to qualifying directly for Euro 2020.
Iceland is having trouble finding the back of the net
Iceland currently sits third in Group H with 12 points, and it desperately needs three points against Les Bleus at home. Last time they played, Iceland lost 4-0 in Paris, and the match was much more lopsided than that. Iceland’s issue so far is that it isn’t scoring a lot of goals. While Iceland is undefeated at home, the Icelanders only have 10 goals scored through six matches in a group that includes Andorra, Moldova and Albania.
To get back on track, they will need to spread France out to attack its defense at its weakest points. They will have to be efficient on offense, because France won’t give them many opportunities to score. If Iceland wants to pull the upset, it needs to execute and use the momentum of the crowd to see them through.
France is sitting pretty in Group H
France holds the second-place spot in Group H with 15 points, and a win against Iceland will put Les Bleus in the driver’s seat to qualify for Euro 2020, where they would be a heavy favorite. These are the matches that they need to win to qualify with ease, so they’re going to need their stars to play with excellence. Their strength comes in their speed and possession, and the quarterback to the attack is N’Golo Kante. Antoine Griezmann, Paul Pogba and Kylian Mbappe will need to be clinical with their finishing, as well as Olivier Giroud up front.
Pick: France wins 3-0 (+925)
France will have its hands full initially on the road in Reykjavik, and the Icelanders will have the crowd willing them on early. However, France’s quality will break through and open the floodgates early in the second half.