MLB Daily Pick for Friday Baseball

Atlanta Braves (91-57) at Washington Nationals (81-64), 7:05 p.m. ET

TeamRun LineMoneylineTotal
Atlanta Braves+1.5 (-155)+135Over 8.5 (-105)
Washington Nationals-1.5 (+130)-150Under 8.5 (-115)

Nationals starter Max Scherzer (10-5, 2.56 ERA) matches up with the Braves’ Mike Soroka (11-4, 2.67 ERA) in an encore of Sunday’s 9-4 Washington victory. Bettors should expect a similar result at Nationals Park on Friday night.

Soroka is 0-2, with a 3.86 ERA, in four starts against Washington this year. Shortstop Trea Turner and outfielders Juan Soto and Adam Eaton are a combined 12-for-29 (.414) all-time against the Canadian starter.

Scherzer has not been his usual dominant self since the All-Star break, but he still managed to hold the Braves to only one run on Sunday, his first start against them this season. His historical dominance of Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman (7-for-37) and third baseman Josh Donaldson (2-for-12) inspires confidence.

MLB free play: Nationals run line

Los Angeles Dodgers (95-53) at New York Mets (76-70), 7:10 p.m. ET

TeamRun LineMoneylineTotal
Los Angeles Dodgers-1.5 (+130)-125Over 7.5 (-115)
New York Mets+1.5 (-155)+110Under 7.5 (-105

Noah Syndergaard (10-7, 4.06 ERA) has been making headlines by airing his desire to avoid pitching to hot-hitting catcher Wilson Ramos, but manager Mickey Callaway has stated it is “likely” Ramos will start Friday. A potentially poor start for Syndergaard, combined with a possible poor outing from a struggling Clayton Kershaw could help Over bettors cash.

The stats bear out that Syndergaard could use a different catcher, as he owns a 5.09 ERA in 15 starts with Ramos as his batterymate and a 2.22 ERA with all other catchers (13 starts). “Thor” has also struggled to pitch at Citi Field this year, as he’s allowed 14 home runs in Queens, compared to five everywhere else. Syndergaard has surrendered more than double the amount of walks in his home efforts compared to those on the road.

Clayton Kershaw (13-5, 3.06 ERA) owns a 5.73 ERA over his last four starts. The southpaw will face a Mets lineup that is fifth in batting average against lefties this year (.277). He’ll have to be careful when right-handed first baseman Pete Alonso, the MLB leader in home runs this season (47), steps into the box.

MLB free play: Over