Chase Elliott, Ryan Blaney, Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin race four wide during the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series 1000Bulbs.com 500.

Chase Elliott, Ryan Blaney, Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin race four wide during the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series 1000Bulbs.com 500. (Photo by Jeffrey Vest/Icon Sportswire)

The Monster Cup Series heads to Texas Motor Speedway this Sunday, November 3 for the AAA Texas 500. This is the second race in the Round of 8. Last Week at Martinsville, Martin Truex Jr. clinched his spot in the Final Four at Homestead. This week, one of the other seven remaining playoff drivers will try to do the same.

A very important note to make is that Texas Motor Speedway was repaved in 2017. The casual fan may not notice the difference, but Texas hasn’t been the same since the change. Any stats prior to 2017 should not be considered when attempting to pick a winner this week. Let’s find the drivers who have taken to the new surface and reveal a winner.

Odds to win the AAA Texas 500

DriverAAA Texas 500 Odds
Kyle Busch+400
Martin Truex Jr.+450
Denny Hamlin+550
Chase Elliott+600
Kevin Harvick+600
Joey Logano+700

Hop on Harvick’s 6/1 odds

Kevin Harvick is a MUST play this weekend in Texas. The 6/1 odds are juicy enough considering his stats at the track. Since 2017, Harvick has two wins, with four Top 5 finishes in five starts. His average finish in those five starts is 3.2. He also hasn’t finished outside of the Top 10 in those same starts. He leads all active drivers with 379 laps led in that span.

Harvick’s team will bring him a great piece of equipment knowing his success at the track. He currently sits 14 points behind the cut off line to make the final race, so this is would be a much needed win for him and his team. He’s put his early season struggles behind him and has been one of the better cars in the field each week. Look for Harvick to take his #4 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford to Victory Lane on Sunday.

Keep an eye on Logano

If Harvick slips up, Joey Logano just may be there to pick up the pieces. In the last five starts at Texas, Logano has two Top 5 finishes with 101 laps led. He has an average finish of 7.2 in those last five starts. He found himself in a bit of drama last weekend at Martinsville with Denny Hamlin. Usually, it’s best to stay away from drama, but Logano is a wheelman in that race car.

Logano’s 7/1 odds aren’t all that bad, and after last week’s events you have to believe he is going to want to shut up his critics. Look for Logano to drive with determination and to do everything in his power to grab the checkered flag at Texas. A win would mean an automatic berth into the Final Four at Homestead.


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