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2020 World Series: Dodgers vs. Rays Game 4 odds and preview

Profile Picture: Robert Criscola

October 24th, 2020

The Los Angeles Dodgers got a strong start from Walker Buehler (six innings, one earned run, three hits, one walk, 10 strikeouts) and were able to solve Charlie Morton (five runs in 4 1/3 inning) as they took a pivotal World Series Game 3 on Friday night.

The Tampa Bay Rays were able to bounce back from a Game 1 loss. Can they do what they did in Game 2, or will the Dodgers take a commanding 3-1 series lead on Saturday night? Here’s our betting preview for Game 4.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays, 8:08 p.m. ET, FOX

Sun, October 25 2020, 12:08 AM

TB Rays[R. Yarbrough]

Run Line

+1.5

Moneyline

+145

Total

O 8

LA Dodgers[J. Urias]

Run Line

-1.5

Moneyline

-175

Total

U 8

Julio Urias has been like a swiss army knife for Dodgers manager Dave Roberts in this postseason. No matter if he’s starting or coming out of the bullpen, Urias is putting zeroes on the scoreboard. This puts L.A. in a highly-advantageous spot as they brace themselves for the Rays’ Ryan Yarbrough and the rest of Tampa’s vaunted bullpen on Saturday night.

Urias has allowed just one earned run in 16 innings of work this postseason. Not only is his ERA (0.56) low, but his WHIP is a microscopic 0.625, and he’s averaging exactly one strikeout per inning. This spells trouble for the Rays’ anemic offense, which is batting a paltry .208 as a whole in the 2020 playoffs. Even ALCS MVP Randy Arozarena has cooled off in the World Series, collecting just two hits in his first 10 at-bats, one of which was a meaningless (perhaps not to Over bettors) solo home run in the bottom of the ninth in Game 3 to make the result 6-2 instead of 6-1.

Yarbrough counters for the Rays in Game 4, trying to put a bad relief outing in Game 1 behind him. He wasn’t charged with any earned runs in that fifth inning appearance, but allowed two of the runners starter Tyler Glasnow left on base to score.

It’s hard to describe Yarbrough’s 2020 output as anything but average, as he produced a 3.56 ERA and 1.186 WHIP in the regular season. He has a 3.38 ERA and 1.312 WHIP through 10 2/3 innings in the playoffs. Unfortunately for Tampa, "average" is not going to get the job done against the Dodgers’ top-notch offense. They led baseball in scoring during the regular season (5.82 runs per game), and are averaging 5.8 runs per game this postseason.

L.A. is not offering great value on the moneyline, but essentially parlaying them to win both the first five innings and the final, also known as a double result, should yield a very nice payoff.

MLB pick: Dodgers/Dodgers double result (+110) 

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