NASCAR heads to Pocono Raceway for the Pocono 400 Sunday, and here is why Kyle Larson has a shot as a +1800 underdog.

Larson and his crew might be coming up to a doughnut-creating, champagne-spouting victory. Although Larson crashed out of the Coca-Cola 600 last week, he won the Monster Energy Open and the All-Star Race.

He also finished eighth at Kansas and third at Dover earlier this year, and came in second at the Pocono 400 last season. If Larson can secure a good starting position, he’ll have a chance to win at big odds.