NASCAR value picks for the QuikTrip 500

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March 13th, 2020

After an exciting Sunday in Phoenix that saw Joey Logano take his second checkered flag of the season, NASCAR rolls into Atlanta Motor Speedway for the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 on Sunday, March 15. Kevin Harvick, second at Phoenix last week, was installed as a tepid +450 favorite. Kyle Busch, the defending Cup Series champion who has yet to win a race this year, is close behind at +500. We’ll look to beat these two favorites as we make our Atlanta race predictions.

Odds to win the QuikTrip 500

DriverQuikTrip 500 Odds
Kevin Harvick
Kyle Busch
Chase Elliott
Joey Logano
Brad Keselowski

Chase Elliott (+600)

After an inauspicious start to the season (17th at Daytona, 26th at Las Vegas), Chase Elliott has rebounded to finish fourth at Auto Club Speedway (California) and seventh at Phoenix. The No. 9 driver appeared to have the best car early in last week’s race as he led 93 laps, but he was forced to make an unscheduled pit stop due to a loose wheel at Lap 156 and never recovered.

Elliott, despite an average starting position of 21st in four career NASCAR races at Atlanta, has an average finishing position of 10.5, the best mark of any active driver. If he qualifies well, Elliott could be a handful on Sunday.

Kurt Busch (+1800)

Like Elliott, Kurt Busch began the year very slowly with a 33rd-place finish at Daytona and a 25th at Las Vegas, his home track. However, he’s picked up top 10 finishes in back-to-back races heading into Atlanta. Busch has led 802 career laps over this course, second only to Harvick, and has hit the top 10 in four straight efforts at Atlanta.

Erik Jones (+2500)

Bettors who are looking back at Erik Jones’ historical performances at Atlanta and similar 1.5-mile tracks, and not his recent results, know that the No. 20 driver is offering good value in the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500.

Jones has just one top 10 finish through the first four weeks of the 2020 campaign, but his average finishing position of 10.67 at Atlanta is second only to Elliott among active drivers. In his last 25 races at 1.5-mile tracks, Jones’ average finishing position is 12.08, good for seventh among active drivers in that span. 

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