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Chiefs Visit Rams In NFL Week 11 Monday Night Football Betting

Profile Picture: D.S. Williamson

D.S. Williamson

November 16th, 2018

The most anticipated matchup of the season takes place on NFL Week 11 Monday Night Football betting when two 1-loss teams battle at the L.A. Memorial Coliseum. As you probably already know, NFL schedulers had a different venue in mind for this one. Unfortunately, the field in Mexico City where the league wanted to stage this battle is a mess. Players from both teams told the NFL they weren’t going to play unless the league brought in a new field. Instead of spending money to build a new field at a stadium in a different country, the league made the decision to move the game.

Mexico City’s loss is the Rams’ gain as they now get to battle Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the comfy confines of Memorial Coliseum. Will Los Angeles use homefield to their advantage? Or, will they fail versus one of the best teams in the AFC? This game has been bookmarked by handicappers, fans, linemakers and the betting public for weeks...and it's finally here.

NFL WEEK 11 MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BETTING Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams Monday, November 19th – L.A. Memorial Coliseum– 8:15pm ET Odds: Rams -3.5 (63.5)






Mahomes Will (Obviously) Test the Rams

One of the biggest debates among NFL fans right now is who’s on the fast track to the league MVP. In one corner are the Drew Brees backers. The Saints’ quarterback has been phenomenal this season. We’re in Week 11 and Brees has only thrown a single interception.

In the other corner are those who back Patrick Mahomes. While Mahomes has thrown 7 interceptions, he’s thrown 10 more touchdowns than Brees, 31 to 21. Mahomes has also thrown for 3,150 yards, which is 600 yards more than what Brees has achieved.

Mahomes’ brilliance should test the Rams on Sunday. Cornerback Aqib Talib won’t suit up for L.A. until Week 13 and while Los Angeles has sacked quarterbacks 26 times this season, they have yet to face a quarterback who can escape danger quite like Mahomes.

The last couple of times the Rams faced a mobile quarterback on Mahomes’ level, they struggled. Mahomes can pull a Russell Wilson on Los Angeles this Sunday. He’s more dangerous than Wilson because he’s got more talented weapons. I'm expecting the public to love Kansas City as a dog in NFL Week 11 Monday Night Football betting, and they should. The oddsmakers have had a tough time really grading good lines against them.

L.A. Must Rediscover Early Season Energy

In the first 3 weeks, the Rams were unstoppable. They beat Oakland 33-13, Arizona 34-0, and the L.A. Chargers 35-23. Not only did the Rams win those 3 games, but they easily covered the spread in all three.

But, something happened in Week 4 that caused Los Angeles to lose some of the energy they displayed in the first 3 weeks - Aqib Talib suffered an injury that would sideline him for at least two months. The Rams have gone a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last 7 without Talib, and Marcus Peters has done a horrific job of holding down the secondary alone.

Although Los Angeles has pulled out wins, they haven’t come close to dominating teams against the spread the way Super Bowl contenders often do. Visually, Los Angeles has looked tired in two close games against the Seattle Seahawks, and in contests versus Green Bay and Denver.

L.A. can’t go into their NFL Week 11 Monday Night Football betting battle with Kansas City with low-energy. The Chiefs are always a high-octane team because they feed off Mahomes. If the Rams try to beat Kansas City by going through the motions, like they did in the wins over the Seahawks, the Chiefs could blow them out.

Their engine, as always, is going to be Todd Gurley, a superstar who also deserves to be in the MVP conversation (and is but as a fringe contender). The Chiefs have allowed 410.7 yards against (29th) all season, and Gurley is easily the biggest threat in the league when he has the ball in hand. If anyone is going to get the Rams going, it's Gurley. High production from their star running back will only lead to more opportunities for the Rams through the air.

Week 11 Monday Night Football Betting Analysis and Pick

Although the NFL changed the venue, bettors are still taking the 3.5 on the Chiefs. The line moved up just a single point from 2.5 for the Rams when the game was scheduled for Mexico City. It could be because the trends favor the road team.

KC is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on Monday night and 12-3 ATS in their last 15. The Rams are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 on Monday night and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 in Week 11. One more great Kansas City trend has them going 20-7 ATS in their last 27 on the road.

In addition to the trends being in their favor, the Chiefs have been much more consistent against the spread, going 8-2 ATS this season. Also, Kansas City has a big advantage with Mahomes under center and Talib out. The Rams will have trouble not only covering the spread but winning this game. I like the KC moneyline. The Rams have been on the ledge for the past month. The Chiefs will have no problem pushing them off of it.

Week 11 Monday Night Football Betting Free Pick: Chiefs +140 ML

 
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