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NFL Week 14 Late Games Free Picks - Can You Still Trust Pittsburgh?

Profile Picture: Adam Spradling

December 9th, 2018

It’s time to break down the afternoon slate with some NFL Week 14 late games free picks. There are some troubling double-digit spreads here, and a lot of marks that are tighter than they should be. Oddsmakers are keeping games close to the chest. Where should your money go as you pad your early game winnings, or play catchup? Let’s find out.

Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers -14.0

The trend in the NFL these days has to been to fade these huge spreads, and the Chargers are a textbook letdown candidate after coming back to beat the Steelers in prime time a week ago. But there are a lot of reasons to stand with the home team here. The Bengals are without their two best players - Andy Dalton and AJ Green - and have been a lifeless squad since being embarrassed by the Browns a few weekends ago. Los Angeles has plenty to play for, with a quick turnaround against Kansas City on Thursday Night in Week 15 as they sit one game out of a potential, division stealing moment. Look for the Chargers to continue their stance as a hot team to bet late in the season. Los Angeles is 10-2 ATS when playing in Week 14, and the Bengals are a horrifying 1-6 ATS over their last 7 games. A big line, even with letdown potential, shouldn’t deter you from backing the home team.

NFL Week 14 Late Games Free Picks - LAC -14.0

Pittsburgh Steelers -10.0 at Oakland  Raiders

There’s lots to be concerned about with Pittsburgh, who won’t have a real running back featured in this game. James Conner is out with a high ankle sprain. There’s also plenty of turmoil brewing in this locker room after the meltdown against the Chargers. Road favorites of this magnitude have not fared too well, and Oakland may be a poor team, but they can keep this game close and victimize a Steelers defense that continues to be a glaring weakness. This doesn’t feel like too many points, but that’s exactly what the oddsmakers want you to think.

NFL Week 14 Late Games Free Picks - Oakland +10.0

Detroit Lions -2.5 at Arizona Cardinals

This line should reflect just how untrustworthy the Lions have become. At a woeful 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games, the Lions can’t be counted on in the sportsbook. Simple as that. The oddsmakers are truly overvaluing the Cardinals here, who are fresh off a resounding victory on the road in Green Bay, but they’re still worth the risk. Stay light in this matchup and use it as a parlay booster if that’s your flavor.

NFL Week 14 Late Games Free Picks - Arizona +2.5

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys -3.0

The Dallas Cowboys are the obvious bet here. By no means is anyone that encouraged by Philly’s two-game win streak since it’s built on games against the Giants and Redskins, and all of their weaknesses play right in to Dallas’s hands. The Eagles have an exceptionally vulnerable defense that will be exposed by a suddenly balanced Dallas attack. Dak Prescott will need to perform at his best, but the fact that Dallas is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against division opponents suggests that this line is too soft. Don’t look a gift horse in the mouth...especially one from Texas.

NFL Week 14 Late Games Free Picks - Dallas -3.0
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