Homeracing

2018 Pegasus World Cup Pre-Draw Odds

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D.S. Williamson

January 22nd, 2018

We won't know the field for the January 27 Pegasus World Cup until the draw occurs this Wednesday on January 24. No worries. We can start to decipher what's going to happen on race day, odds wise at least, by studying the future book odds. I write a few words about every horse that's listed as probable for the 2018 Pegasus World Cup.

 

2018 World Cup Pegasus Pre-Draw Odds

** Odds from HorseRacingNation.com.

Gun Runner                         3/1

It's tough to knock the best horse in the world. If you can get 3/1, jump on it. The reason why is because there's no way he goes off at higher than 6/5 on race day. Heck, he might be at 6/5, or worse, right now!

Collected                               9/2

Collected didn't look that great when finishing third in the Grade 2 San Antonio. That was a prep for this, though. Expect a much tighter equine on Jan. 27.

West Coast                            5/1

I love how he finished up in the Breeders' Cup Classic. It was his first time versus his elders and he ran marvelously. If he's improved at all, 5/1 might be a gift.

Sharp Azteca                         8/1

Saint Liam, his broodmare's sire, could easily run 1 1/4 miles. The Pegasus World Cup is run at 1 1/8 miles. What it means is that Sharp Azteca should be up there with Giant Expectations, Collected, and Gun Runner. Does he have the lungs to get more than a mile? I think he might. If he does, he'll have the best shot at taking down Gun Runner.

Gunnevera                             12/1

There's too much quality speed for this stone cold closer to catch at 1 1/8 miles at Gulfstream Park. I don't see it happening.

Seeking the Soul                   15/1

He won the Clark Handicap by beating a decent horse, Good Samaritan. That was a nice run. I'm not sure he's ready to tackle these, though.

Giant Expectations              20/1

Yep, he beat Collected in the San Antonio in his last. Collected was not himself in that race. Not only that, but none of the other speed in the race went with Giant Expectations. It's going to be hard for this guy to stick with Sharp Azteca and Gun Runner early on in this race.

Toast of New York               22/1

If there's any over 20 to 1 shot that I believe can beat Gun Runner, West Coast, or Sharp Azteca, it's Toast of New York. He's one quality animal. He also won a nice prep race overseas in December.

Stellar Wind                          25/1

I believe some fillies and mares are just better than male horses. This might not be the race to run Stellar Wind versus the boys, though. She must improve big time to get into the money in the Pegasus on Saturday.

Mind Your Biscuits              40/1

How far does he want to run? It doesn't matter. Even if he has the lungs for 1 1/8 miles, he doesn't have the style. Mind Your Biscuits runs like a sprinter. His connections should bypass the Pegasus and point to the Dubai Golden Shaheen, a race that Mind Your Biscuits won in the past.

War Story                               45/1

I don't see it. To sniff the Top 4, he'd have to improve by a country mile.

Prime Attraction                    50/1

He failed miserably against Giant Expectations in a race that set up for him to show his best. How's he going to handle top notch competition? He's not.

Destin                                       50/1

He hasn't yet lived up to the promise he showed when losing the 2016 Belmont Stakes to Creator. That tells me he'll never turn into the horse he might have been. It wouldn't be the first time a Belmont Stakes run led to a horse never improving much afterwards.

Giuseppe the Great                50/1

He might be a must use in the exotics because he always seems to finish second, third, or fourth in his races. He's a horrible bet to win, though.

I'll post my 2018 Pegasus World Cup write up on Thursday morning. Right now, I'm leaning towards Sharp Azteca because he can slightly rate right off Collected and Gun Runner.

Good luck if you're playing this week!

 

 
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