Homeracing

2019 Kentucky Oaks/Kentucky Derby Double Will Pays

Profile Picture: J. Keeler Johnson

May 4th, 2019

The frontrunning 13-1 upset by #13 Serengeti Empress in the Kentucky Oaks (G1) at Churchill Downs has produced some eye-catching potential payoffs in the Kentucky Oaks/Kentucky Derby Double.

Bettors who successfully picked Serengeti Empress in the first leg of the two-day double will be live to $1 payoffs between $110.60 and $1,679.30, depending on which horse(s) they paired her with in the Kentucky Derby.

The complete list of “will pays,” to use horse racing parlance, is as follows:
# Horse Payoff
1 War of Will $351.00
2 Tax $675.70
3 By My Standards $419.60
4 Gray Magician $1,650.50
5 Improbable $110.60
6 Vekoma $324.80
7 Maximum Security $123.90
8 Tacitus $111.40
9 Plus Que Parfait $1,366.70
10 Cutting Humor $748.50
11 Haikal None
12 Omaha Beach None
13 Code of Honor $241.00
14 Win Win Win $354.60
15 Master Fencer $1,679.30
16 Game Winner $116.30
17 Roadster $169.60
18 Long Range Toddy $1,119.00
19 Spinoff $723.60
20 Country House $1,290.50
21 Bodexpress $1,553.70
Judging from these payoffs, it looks like #5 Improbable and #8 Tacitus will be vying for favoritism in the Kentucky Derby, with #7 Maximum Security right behind. That’s similar to the early odds in the Kentucky Derby win pool, where those three have been hovering in the 5-1 range.

The 9-2 morning line favorite #16 Game Winner has been a bit cold in the win pool at 6-1 and is likewise only the fourth choice in the Oaks/Derby double, suggesting that bettors are hesitant to embrace the 2-year-old champion after his two defeats this season. #17 Roadster, the co-second choice on the morning line at 5-1, figures to be no better than the fifth choice in the win wagering, with #13 Code of Honor rounding out the top six.
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