Homeracing

Belmont Stakes Analysis – Sir Winston & Intrepid Heart

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D.S. Williamson

June 2nd, 2019

Preakness Stakes champion War of Will’s trainer Mark Casse will also saddle contender Sir Winston in Saturday’s Belmont Stakes. Sir Winston might be coming into his own after an excellent run in the Peter Pan Stakes.

Todd Pletcher, who has 3 Test of Champions trophies to his credit, has two contenders in the race. Although Spinoff has a shot, his main contender might be Intrepid Heart. Keep reading for the case for and against Sir Winston and Intrepid Heart.

Belmont Stakes Analysis For & Against Sir Winston & Intrepid Heart

Belmont Stakes Case For and Against Sir Winston

Most consider War of Will to be Mark Casse’s top Belmont Stakes contender on June 8. It’s hard to knock that sentiment because War of Will did win the Preakness Stakes. However, War of Will has yet to run as fast of a Brisnet speed rating as Sir Winston did when finishing second behind Global Campaign in the Grade 3 Peter Pan Stakes.

Sir Winston was behind 11 lengths at the first call. At the second call, he was behind 10 lengths. He produced the type of move that could win the Test of Champions by furiously closing to finish second.

What’s really impressive is how he had to go 6-wide, no easy task at Belmont Park, at the top of the stretch. He still kept running on. If the race had been at 1 ¼ miles he might have caught Global Campaign.

That run alone says he’s got a shot to win the Belmont Stakes. Awesome Again sired Sir Winston. The horse’s grandsire, Afleet Alex, won the Belmont Stakes. This Mark Casse trainee might be the one to back on Saturday.

Belmont Stakes Case For and Against Intrepid Heart

We can throw the run in the Peter Pan Stakes out the window. Intrepid Heart would have preferred to stay much closer to Global Campaign than to hang so far behind the pace. Even though Global Campaign ran fast, the 1 1/8 mile race was at one-turn.

Not only that, but it was only Intrepid Heart’s third lifetime race. The horse got a real education in that event. If not for a slightly inward duck in the stretch, Intrepid Heart might have finished second ahead of Sir Winston. He wasn’t going to catch a loose on the lead Global Campaign, but that runner has a lot of talent.

Sired by Tapit, Intrepid Heart could be the horse to beat on June 8. Tapit has sired 3 Belmont Stakes winners already, Tonalist, Creator, and Tapwrit. Todd Pletcher has won 3 Belmont Stakes with Rags to Riches, Palice Malice, and Tapwrit.

If Intrepid Heart runs to his ability, he can win the third Triple Crown event. Sir Winston also has a huge shot. Although Tacitus and War of Will should be formidable, both Sir Winston and Intrepid Heart could take the Test of Champions on Saturday.

 
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