Harness Handicapping Just For Fun With A Simple System
Sometimes, we just don't have time to handicap or we don't want to. Even the most serious handicapper has those days when he or she just wants to put twenty dollars into their ADW and have a little fun without spending hours going over a program.
This simple little system is perfect for days like that, as long as you keep in mind that there's no guarantee that it will pick winners on the day you use it. It's just a quick handicapping method that sometimes does very well without a lot of effort. So, keeping in mind that it's just for fun, here's how you do it.
Start with the most important rule in this system: Only play the Morning Line favorite. Never mind if it's not the post time favorite. Just look at the program, find the horse with the lowest morning line odds and circle it.
Now, look at when it last ran. If it's more than two weeks ago, you have to make a decision. You can either play the horse that's second in the Morning Line odds or move on to the next race. I look at the next horse in the Morning Line and make my decision based on whether I think it's a good bet.
The third step is to see if the horse finished within two lengths of the winner - or won - its last race. If it did, it's still in the running. If it didn't, go back to step 2 and see if the second Morning Line favorite satisfies the conditions, or pass the race.
Step four is a multi-part one. You want to make sure that the driver has at least 15% for wins, the trainer has at least 10% for wins and the horse wins, at least, 2 out of 10 races or 20%.
The fifth step is only necessary when the track is off. If it is, make sure that the horse has won on an off track. If it hasn't, go back to the second step and check out the second morning line favorite to see if it has won on an off track.
That's it. It actually takes longer to read about this system than it does to play it, after you've used it once or twice. Like I said, it's just for fun, not a sure thing. But it can help you keep more of your money when you want to play and haven't done your homework.
You might want to play around with the steps and add some of your own. Maybe you'll find that a variation of this works better at some of the tracks you play than it does at others. Try it on some old programs and see how it does at your favorite track. Just remember to keep it light and keep it fun.