Homeracing

Player Quick Pick: Gulfstream 12/7/2014

Profile Picture: D.S. Williamson

D.S. Williamson

December 7th, 2014

Aqueduct figures to be a bog again, which means that finding overlays might be tough. Let’s turn our attention to Race 8 at Gulfstream Park on Sunday. The race, a $37,000n1x for three-year-olds and up going 1 and 1/16 miles over the turf, has attracted a full field of 12 horses.

Gulfstream Park Race 8 | 3:58 pm ET

Allowance (37) for 3&Up going 1-1/16 mi. (T)

6 – Boss Man – 9/2 – Bill Mott trains this four-year-old sired by English Channel that has only a single victory from 13 starts, but has run competitively with 3 second place and 3 third place finishes. Jockey Jose Lezcano is known for being effective on turf horses and even though this one hasn’t raced for two months, Mott wins 20% with horses running for him off of a layoff. The distance should actually be in Boss Man’s wheelhouse since the gelding has been running at 1 ¼ mile and 1 ½ mile races but broke its maiden going 1 1/8 miles over the turf. In the maiden victory Boss Man laid a length off of a slow pace before running on and winning by a nose. It should be noted that the lone score was at the $40,000 maiden claiming level while this is an allowance race. Boss Man has been working steadily at the Payson Park Training Center. Because Mott doesn’t put the gelding into a claimer, he must have liked what he has seen.

9-Shiva Ryan – 4/1 – There appears to be a lot of speed signed on for this including Rasta Rant who attracted the services of awesome speed jock Paco Lopez. All of the speed could set things up for what might be the one true closer in the race, Shiva Ryan. Mohammed Jehaludi trains the three-year-old roan sired by Tapit who lost by 11 lengths when finishing tenth in the Grade 3 Commonwealth in his last. Two races before the Commonwealth debacle, Shiva Ryan finished third in a $90,000 stakes race at Gulfstream Park West going a mile over the turf. He’s got some talent and appears to have put things together since the maiden score three races back. This field isn’t as close to being as talented as what he faced in the Commonwealth and the speed figure from that race actually wasn’t too bad. If the speed doesn’t hold, expect jockey Diego Gomez to have this guy right there at the wire.

7-Personal Delivery – 7/2 – Big Brown is turning into one heck of a sire. The horse that probably should have won the Triple Crown in 2008 if not for a lost shoe has actually been a better sire of turf horses than dirt horses. Personal Delivery could turn into a seriously talented Big Brown runner if trainer Cathal Lynch can just get him to take that next step. So far, he’s garnered a record of 4 wins and 1 second place finish from 7 lifetime starts and looks capable of firing his best on either dirt or turf. The problem for Personal Delivery in this race is that he likes to run close to the pace in an event with a lot of speed, comes from a cheaper track, Parx, and may need a race before showing his best. All of those reasons and the fact that he figures to offer underlay odds make Personal Delivery a must use in the exotics but not one to bet to win.
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