Homeracing

Player Quick Pick: Saratoga late Pick 4 for 8/9/2014

Profile Picture: Molly Jo Rosen

Molly Jo Rosen

August 9th, 2014

by Andrew Champagne



With another Saturday card at Saratoga comes another guaranteed late Pick Four pool. This time, we're looking to take down a share of at least $500,000, much like last week (when this space produced a winning ticket of $222). Let's get to it!

RACE #8: This is a two-turn allowance for state-breds on turf. I'm going three-deep here, using #1 Point Roll (5/2), #2 Analysis (4-1), and #5 The Spotted Wonder (30-1).

Point Roll's last race was bizarre. He put forth a very strong middle move before fading to dead last, and that effort seems too bad to be true. Analysis ran second that day, and 30-1 bomb The Spotted Wonder needed his last race off a year-long layoff. Some improvement is conceivable, and this could have been a stronger spot.

RACE #9: The second leg of yet another all-turf Pick Four is a sprint for older fillies and mares. I'm going four-deep, using #1 Richies Sweetheart (5/2), #2 Kiss Me Lola (4-1), #5 Jitney (12-1), and #10 Ballerina Belle (7/2).

Kiss Me Lola is particularly interesting at her price. She has three top-two finishes in as many starts at this route, a route that many horses simply don't take to. There's plenty of speed to rate behind, and she should be coming late at a very fair price.

RACE #10: The Fourstardave will be without Wise Dan, but we've got a very evenly-matched field of six going postward. It's so evenly-matched that I'm using two-thirds of the field.

#1 Silver Max (9/5), #2 Seek Again (3-1), #3 Jack Milton (5/2), and #5 Sayaad (5-1) are all on my ticket. Jack Milton is my top pick, given that both Silver Max and Sayaad will likely want the lead. However, it's a fun race to dissect, even if the quantity is a little low.

RACE #11: Our finale is for maiden fillies and mares, and I've gone two-deep, including using a Christophe Clement trainee who is kin to a European champion.

#7 Trophee (3-1) makes her first start in America, and is a half-sister to Treve. She adds Lasix here, and if she runs to the ability she's hinted at in the past, she could be very tough to beat.

I'm also using #6 Forensic (5/2). Her race earlier this meet wasn't bad, and she should embrace the added distance she gets in this spot.

John Velazquez rides back for Shug McGaughey, and if she gets a pace to run at, Forensic figures to be a major player.

All told, this ticket is a $48 stab at that $500,000 guaranteed pool.

If you're playing it, best of luck!
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