Homeracing

Player Quick Pick: Saratoga Late Pick Four for 8/14/14

Profile Picture: Andrew Champagne

August 14th, 2014

The rain that ravaged Wednesday’s card at Saratoga has moved out of the area. As such, I’m planning for turf racing Thursday at The Spa, especially in a late Pick Four sequence that (knock on wood) looks pretty hittable. Here’s how I’ll play it.

RACE #7: We start with a turf route that drew a field of eight. I think the morning line guy got this one right, as I’m using #4 Al’s Gal (3-1) and #6 Wine Burglar (2-1).

Al’s Gal makes her first start for Bruce Levine, who is a solid 19% with new acquisitions. A repeat of her last race makes her a threat to win this one, which is contested at the same level. Meanwhile, Wine Burglar is a legitimate favorite. She came up just short in a starter allowance race at this route earlier in the meet. She didn’t have a great trip that day, and Javier Castellano signs back on for this one.

RACE #8: The second leg of the Pick Four is a $25,000 claimer for sprinters. I’ve gone four-deep here, using #3 Dr Disco (12-1), #5 Broad Rule (6-1), #6 Photon (5/2), and #7 Storm Pursuit (5-1).

Photon won at this route earlier this month, and he’s arguably never been better. He makes his first start for Rudy Rodriguez in this spot, and Rudy is a lights-out 31% with horses first off a claim.

RACE #9: We’re back on the turf for this one, an optional claimer for state-breds. My ticket uses #2 Caribean Beat (6-1), #5 Distorted Beauty (9/5), and #8 One Time Only (2-1).

Distorted Beauty is a legitimate favorite. She chased a loose-on-the-lead Palace Dreams last out, and Palace Dreams could be a stakes-quality horse. This is a weaker field than the last one she faced, and she’s definitely the one to beat in this spot.

RACE #10: Our Thursday finale is a starter allowance for older sprinters. Again, I’ve gone three-deep, using #3 Regulus (7/2), #7 Bug Juice (6-1), and #8 The Big Deluxe (3-1).

The Big Deluxe has progressed in a big way in his last two starts. After running away with a $25,000 claimer, the John Toscano trainee did everything but win last out, running second behind Noble Cornerstone after setting ridiculously-fast early fractions. He beat the rest of that field by more than seven lengths, and while I’m not crazy about the outside post, 3-1 seems like an overlay to me.

This ticket checks in at an affordable $36. Again, though, it assumes we’re on the turf, and if that changes, so does the ticket. Best of luck!
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