How to Bet the Grade 1 H. Allen Jerkens Stakes

Promises Fulfilled winning the Fountain of Youth Stakes (gr. II) - Photo by Leslie Martin/Coglianese Photography The first graded stakes race on the Travers Day card is the H. Allen Jerkens Stakes (G1.) The event formerly known as the King’s Bishop Stakes is contested at seven furlongs over the main track. The field is led by the impressive winner of the Dwyer Stakes (G3) #8 Firenze Fire. The son of Poseidon’s Warrior had a strong two-year-old campaign capturing [...]

Shapiros’ Fair Odds Line for the 150th Running of the Belmont Stakes

Justify winning the Preakness Stakes (gr. I) - Jim McCue Photography Last week I did a preliminary Fair Odds line for the 150th running of the Belmont Stakes, but after further research and the post-position draw here is my final rendition: #1 Justify (Even money) - The undefeated dual Classic winner obviously has a ton going for him, including tactical speed that allows him to make the lead or stalk just off the early pace. However, regressing numbers [...]

Shapiro’s Fair Odds Line for the Belmont Stakes as of May 30th

In just ten days dual classic winner Justify will attempt to make history and become the second Triple Crown winner this century for Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert. It is hard to believe that this son of Scat Daddy has accomplished so much in such a short period of time. If he can conclude this incredible run dating back to his maiden victory on debut at Santa Anita on February 18th with a win at “Big Sandy” next Saturday [...]

Finding Value in an Unexpected Place

Justify winning the Preakness Stakes (gr. I) - Jim McCue Photography Being a profitable horseplayer not only takes proper preparation in the days leading up to a card, but also requires paying attention to detail in the minutes leading up to a race. One thing that can get overlooked amid time spent on handicapping and ticket structure is checking pools before placing bets. You may like to plan your bets out beforehand, which overall is not a bad [...]

How to Bet the Black-Eyed Susan/Preakness Stakes Daily Double

The biggest racing weekend of the year in Maryland is upon us and that means the Grade 2 $250,000 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes on Friday followed by the Grade 1 $1.5 million dollar Preakness Stakes on Saturday afternoon. In addition to all of the wagering opportunities available daily at Pimlico Race Course, there is a multi-day Daily Double featuring each day’s main event. Here are my thoughts on the two big races: Race 11, Friday, Black-Eyed Susan Stakes The mile and an [...]

How to Bet the Peter Pan/ Man o’ War Double at Belmont Park

Sadler's Joy winning the Sword Dancer Stakes (gr. I) at Saratoga -Photo by NYRA/Chelsea Durand/Adam Coglianese Photography The action in New York heats up on Saturday at Belmont Park as a stakes-laden card is headlined by the $700,000 Grade 1 Man o’ War. The all-stakes Pick 4 that commences in Race 8 with the $150,000 Runhappy Stakes will be an extremely popular horizontal wager, but I am also interested in the last Daily Double on the 11-race slate. [...]

Shapiro’s Fair Odds Line for the 2018 Kentucky Derby

Coady Photography Today is the day. At 6:48 ET the anticipation ends and the gates open for the 144th Kentucky Derby. With less than 12 hours before the big race there is little work left to be done. It is now in the hands of the racing gods. With that being said here is my final fair odds line for the 2018 “Run for the Roses.” #1 Firenze Fire (500-1) Likely to send from the rail, but also [...]

Shapiro’s Approach to the Oaks/Derby Double

Good Magic galloping under the Twin Spires - Coady Photography The two biggest races of the year at Churchill Downs make up a Daily Double sequence that commences with the one-million dollar Grade 1 Longines Kentucky Oaks on Friday and concludes with the world-famous Kentucky Derby sponsored by Woodford Reserve on Saturday evening. This year’s Oaks is led by 2-1-morning line favorite #14 Monomoy Girl and 5-2-second choice #10 Midnight Bisou. The pair of three-year-old fillies bring by [...]

Shapiro’s Final Verdict: Kentucky Derby 2018

Audible winning the Florida Derby (gr. I) - Photo by Adam Coglianese Photography We are just a few days out from the world-famous Kentucky Derby set to go to post at 6:50 local time on Saturday evening. The first leg of the Triple Crown has been as enjoyable as ever to analyze starting months ago given the talented crop set to break from the gates in the twelfth race on Saturday’s 14-race card at Churchill Downs. So without [...]

Shapiro’s Fair Odds Line for the Kentucky Derby as of April 25th

We are just 10 days away from one of the more fascinating Kentucky Derby’s in recent memory. This year’s group of colts is as top heavy and strong as I can recall. I am unlikely to be involved in the Win pool unless my opinion on a top choice becomes stronger over the next week and a half, but demanding fair value is a must. At the moment I have clear separation between my Top 4 and the rest of [...]