Betting Regional Class Advantages, Part 2

Coady Photography In a recent article here on BetAmerica, we discussed how regional class advantages can exist throughout the sport of horse racing and produce to profitable wagering opportunities. Our first example noted how turf horses from the East Coast tend to be superior to their counterparts from the West Coast, but when we turn our attention to dirt racing, the picture looks very different. Specifically, when it comes to three-year-old dirt horses—Kentucky Derby candidates—the west has been [...]

When Do Kentucky Derby Winners Typically Debut?

Justify winning the Kentucky Derby - Coady Photography There can be no denying that the 2018 Kentucky Derby victory by Justify has signaled a significant shift in the way that horses are being prepared for that tough test on the first Saturday in May. With horses racing less and less prior to the Kentucky Derby, we knew it was just a matter of time before a talented horse would come along and replicate the fabled 1882 Kentucky Derby [...]

American Pharoah’s Sister Headlines Three Strong Maiden Races Saturday at Del Mar

Maiden special weight events are not for everyone, but they are some of my favorite races to handicap, especially at the boutique summer meetings in California and New York. A trio of protected non-winner races are a part of the ten-race card on Saturday “Where the Turf Meets the Surf” and I look forward to all three. The first of the three kicks things off in San Diego County and features the half-sister to 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah, [...]

Using Trainer Angles in Handicapping, Part 3: Blinkers

Bob Baffert at Saratoga - Photo by Courtney Heeney/Coglianese Photography Question: What do American Pharoah, Justify, Arrogate, Bayern, Dortmund, West Coast, Mastery, and Dream Tree all have in common? Answer: They all won Grade 1 races for Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert, and furthermore, they all won their second career starts while racing without blinkers for the first time. Handicapping races using trainer angles has become increasingly popular in recent years thanks to online tools such as [...]

Where Justify Ranks Amongst Top Three Year Olds This Century

Jockey Mike Smith aboard Kentucky Derby winner Justify - Coady Photography After an amazing stretch that began with a maiden special weight victory at Santa Anita in mid-February and concluded with a wire-to-wire one and three-quarter length win in the Belmont Stakes last Saturday it is clear that Justify is having one of the greatest three-year-old seasons this century. The question though is how does he stack up now and where will he be if he runs the [...]

Keying Justify in the Belmont Could Produce Better Payoffs Than You Think

Justify winning the Kentucky Derby - Coady Photography So let’s say you’re convinced that the unbeaten Justify will keep his perfect record intact with a victory in the June 9th Belmont Stakes (gr. I) at Belmont Park, in the process becoming the thirteenth horse to sweep the Triple Crown. Thanks to his determined victories in the Kentucky Derby (gr. I) and Preakness Stakes (gr. I), Justify will be a heavy favorite to emulate his Bob Baffert-trained predecessor American Pharoah [...]

Taking a Contrary Approach in Multi-Race Wagers

Keen Ice upsetting American Pharoah in the Travers Stakes - Photo by Courtney Henney/Coglianese Photography In the sport of horse racing, there are two main types of “exotic” wagers separate from the tried-and-true win, place, and show bets that have existed for years. The first group of exotic wagers, commonly referred to as “vertical exotics” or “single-race exotics,” involve predicting the order of finish in a single race. The second group of exotic wagers, often called “horizontal exotics” [...]

Betting Longshots to Turn the Tables on Favorites

Keen Ice upsetting American Pharoah in the Travers Stakes - Photo by Courtney Henney/Coglianese Photography When Horse A beats Horse B in decisive fashion, it’s natural for bettors to assume that the result will be the same should Horse A and Horse B meet again a few weeks later. While this is frequently the case, there are occasions when Horse B is able to turn the tables, often at very inflated odds since bettors will tend to write off [...]

After Triple Crown 3 Year Old Division Predictions

The Triple Crown is in the books!  Creator nipped Destin by a nose at the wire to win the Belmont Stakes, the third and final jewel of the crown, on Saturday, June 11. Time to move on to Saratoga! Nobody could have expected this year's Triple Crown to match last year's. American Pharoah broke a 37 year Triple Crown drought. It was something that we may never see again the rest of our lives. This year was about good horses [...]

Nyquist seeks to keep Triple Crown hopes alive

One year after thoroughbred racing fans finally welcomed back the thrill of celebrating a Triple Crown winner when American Pharoah completed the rare feat to taking the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont Stakes, Nyquist will look to keep his hopes alive of becoming the sport's 13th Triple Crown winner when he goes postward this Saturday evening in the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore. Wednesday afternoon Nyquist (Mario Gutierrez) drew post three in a field of 11 for [...]