Shapiros’ Fair Odds Line for the 150th Running of the Belmont Stakes

Justify winning the Preakness Stakes (gr. I) - Jim McCue Photography Last week I did a preliminary Fair Odds line for the 150th running of the Belmont Stakes, but after further research and the post-position draw here is my final rendition: #1 Justify (Even money) - The undefeated dual Classic winner obviously has a ton going for him, including tactical speed that allows him to make the lead or stalk just off the early pace. However, regressing numbers [...]

Shapiro’s Fair Odds Line for the Belmont Stakes as of May 30th

In just ten days dual classic winner Justify will attempt to make history and become the second Triple Crown winner this century for Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert. It is hard to believe that this son of Scat Daddy has accomplished so much in such a short period of time. If he can conclude this incredible run dating back to his maiden victory on debut at Santa Anita on February 18th with a win at “Big Sandy” next Saturday [...]

How to Bet the Peter Pan Stakes

Belmont Park - Chelsea Durand/Coglianese Photography Are you looking for up-and-coming three-year-olds that could have an impact in the Belmont Stakes (gr. I) four weeks from now? If so, then you’ll want to see what transpires in Saturday’s $350,000 Peter Pan Stakes (gr. III) at Belmont Park. The race serves as a local prep for the Belmont Stakes, but being held at nine furlongs around one turn means that it can be won by horses with a variety [...]

2018 Kentucky Derby: Who’s On the Bubble?

The Twin Spires at Churchill Downs - Coady Photography Who’s in and who’s out? That’s a question that be asked repeatedly during the next two weeks as the 2018 Kentucky Derby approaches. The last two Derby prep races—the Arkansas Derby (gr. I) and the Lexington Stakes (gr. III)—were held on Saturday, so all of the Kentucky Derby qualification points have been assigned and the field of twenty horses is more-or-less set in stone. However, history suggests that there [...]

Blended Citizen Prevails in Competitive Jeff Ruby Steaks

Blended Citizen winning the Jeff Ruby Steaks (gr. III) at Turfway Park - Coady Photography As expected, the $200,000 Jeff Ruby Steaks (gr. III) on March 17th at Turfway Park produced a thrilling and competitive finish, with the result remaining in doubt until a few strides before the finish line. However, it remains to be seen how much of an impact the nine-furlong race will have on the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown. Despite being a Road to the [...]

Paved Beats the Colts in El Camino Real Derby

Paved winning the El Camino Real Derby at Golden Gate Fields - © Shane Micheli/Vassar Photography Question: When was the last time a filly won a Kentucky Derby prep race? Prior to yesterday, and subject to correction, the most recent example I could think of was Evita Argentina beating colts in the 2009 San Vicente Stakes (gr. II) sprinting seven furlongs at Santa Anita. Nine years and one day later, we finally saw another filly prevail in a [...]

Keying Paved in the El Camino Real Derby

Paved breaking her maiden at Santa Anita - © Benoit Photo Every now and then, I’ll see a young horse win for the first time and think to myself “I want to play that horse next time it runs, because I think it could be a star in the making.” Such a horse is set to compete in the February 17th $100,000 El Camino Real Derby at Golden Gate Fields, that being #1 Paved. And while the circumstances aren’t quite [...]