2019 Kentucky Derby: Contender Birth Dates and Historical Trends

Omaha Beach wins the Arkansas Derby (Coady Photo/Oaklawn) Based on their birth dates, it appears that the 2019 Kentucky Derby contenders are skewing a bit younger than usual this year. You can usually count on there being a handful of January-born contenders, along with a few born in May, while the majority will have been born during the February/March/April window. But 2019 is shaping up to be a bit different. Not a single top 25 Derby contender was [...]

During Kentucky Derby Prep Season, Less is Often More

Possible Kentucky Derby favorite Omaha Beach will have to break the "Smarty Jones Curse" in order to win the roses. Photo by Coady Photography While it used to be common for horses to employ busy prep schedules in advance of the Kentucky Derby, in recent years, Derby winners have been taking a “less is more” approach to their winter/spring racing action. Gone are the days when a Derby winner might run seven times as a 3-year-old prior to [...]

2019 Kentucky Derby: Who’s on the Bubble?

Anothertwistafate winning the El Camino Real Derby - © Vassar Photography/Shane Micheli How many qualification points will be required to run in the 2019 Kentucky Derby, and which horses will secure the last few slots in the starting gate? That’s the question everyone is asking now that the 2018-19 Road to the Kentucky Derby is complete, and the field of 20 horses is pretty much set. It would be set in stone ,except that there are still 19 [...]

Maximum Security Finishes Fast in Florida Derby

Maximum Security winning the Florida Derby (gr. I) - © Adam Coglianese Photography The name of the game in Saturday’s $1 million Florida Derby (gr. I) at Gulfstream Park was “catch me if you can,” and when the dust settled, you could practically hear the front-running Maximum Security taunting his rivals as he pulled away down the homestretch to score a convincing victory in the 1 1/8-mile Road to the Kentucky Derby prep race. Granted, the pace setup for Maximum [...]

How To Bet the Florida Derby Podcast

The Kentucky Derby favorite could come from the Florida Derby, as Hidden Scroll looks to rebound from his fourth-place behind Code of Honor and Bourbon War in the Fountain of Youth, Maximum Security looks to breakout in his stakes debut, and Harvey Wallbanger is out to prove his Holy Bull was no fluke. All that plus Current's return to dirt, and the intriguing maiden Bodexpress! Danny Zucker of Predicteform.com discusses with Ed DeRosa of Brisnet.com how to bet the Florida [...]

How to Bet the Florida Derby

Code of Honor winning the Fountain of Youth Stakes - © Adam Coglianese Photography In analyzing the contenders for Saturday’s $1 million Florida Derby (gr. I) at Gulfstream Park, I think the top finishers from last month’s Fountain of Youth Stakes (gr. II) might be a cut above their challengers in this 1 1/8-mile Road to the Kentucky Derby prep race. Specifically, those would be #9 Code of Honor, #4 Bourbon War, and #1 Hidden Scroll, who ran [...]

5 Takeaways from the Fountain of Youth Stakes

Code of Honor winning the Fountain of Youth Stakes - © Adam Coglianese Photography A deep field, a fast pace, and a wild finish combined to make Saturday’s $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes (gr. II) at Gulfstream Park one of the most interesting races so far on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. Code of Honor, runner-up in the Champagne Stakes (gr. I) last fall, was the star of the show, rebounding to his best form to score [...]

How to Bet the Fountain of Youth Day All-Stakes Pick 4

Hidden Scroll winning his debut at Gulfstream Park - Photo by Leslie Martin/Adam Coglianese Photography The Saturday, March 2 card at Gulfstream Park includes a $750,000-guaranteed all-stakes Pick 4 covering the final four races of the day, including the much-anticipated Fountain of Youth Stakes (gr. II). The sequence looks a bit chalky, but I do like one live longshot in the finale, and if the sequence is indeed chalky than we should be able to hit it for [...]

Why I’m Betting Hidden Scroll in the Fountain of Youth

I don’t think anyone will deny that #5 Vekoma and #6 Signalman are the most accomplished runners heading into Saturday’s $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes (gr. II) at Gulfstream Park, a major stop on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. In a field of eleven three-year-olds, they’re the only proven graded stakes winners. Last year, Vekoma went 2-for-2 and defeated high-class rivals like Epic Dreamer, Mihos, Network Effect, and Call Paul in a maiden race and the Nashua Stakes (gr. [...]