BARN Podcast 3/20/19

We open the show discussing the probable list for the Dubai World Cup which is coming up next weekend. Then we welcome in Andy Serling from the New York Racing Association to talk about New York racing, the three year-old group, handicapping, and much more.

Rating the 2019 Kentucky Derby Prep Races

Omaha Beach winning the Rebel Stakes (gr. II) at Oaklawn Park - Coady Photography As we head into the final round of Road to the Kentucky Derby prep races, now seems like a good time to look back at the 17 North American prep races already run this year and assign a rating to each one. My ratings—based on a scale of 1 to 5—attempt to blend the apparent strength of each race on paper with its potential [...]

Three Takeaways from the Gotham Stakes

Haikal winning the Gotham Stakes (gr. III) - © Adam Coglianese Photography/Chelsea Durand The old phrase “pace makes the race” was demonstrated clearly in the $300,000 Gotham Stakes (gr. III) on March 3 at Aqueduct, won by the late-running Haikal in a driving finish. Indeed, it’s not a stretch to conclude that the outcome of the race was determined almost solely by the extraordinary pace of the one-mile Road to the Kentucky Derby prep event. On a day [...]

Why I’m Betting Haikal in the Gotham Stakes

Instagrand winning the Best Pal Stakes (gr. II) at Del Mar - © BENOIT PHOTO There is an abundance of early speed entered in Saturday’s $300,000 Gotham Stakes (gr. III) at Aqueduct, so it’s hard not to envision the one-mile Road to the Kentucky Derby prep race unfolding at a rapid pace. For example, #6 Instagrand led gate-to-wire in his two impressive victories last year. #7 Not That Brady has set the pace in his last four starts. [...]

Did a Favorable Pace Setup Help Enticed in the Gotham Stakes?

Enticed winning the Gotham Stakes (gr. III) at Aqueduct - Photo by Coglianese Photography If you’re looking for the definition of a race that is “fast early, slow late,” check out the results of the $300,000 Gotham Stakes (gr. III) on March 10th at Aqueduct. From start to finish, the one-mile Road to the Kentucky Derby prep race got slower with every quarter-mile fraction, and while this isn’t surprising for a slow track like Aqueduct, it was the extent [...]

Analyzing a Competitive Renewal of the Gotham Stakes

Firenze Fire winning the Jerome Stakes (NYRA/Coglianese Photography/Chelsea Durand When handicapping Kentucky Derby prep races, it’s usually simple to narrow down the field to a couple of main contenders. But that isn’t the case in Saturday’s $300,000 Gotham Stakes (gr. III) at Aqueduct, a race in which nearly half the entrants boast impressive credentials. Leading the way are the Grade 1 winners #5 Firenze Fire and #6 Free Drop Billy, who also strike me as the most likely [...]

All-Stakes Pick 4 Analysis for Gotham Day at Aqueduct Racetrack

Saturday offers horseplayers a strong ten-race card at Aqueduct Racetrack in Queens, New York headlined by the $300,000 Grade 3 Gotham. The one-mile event for three-year-olds is carded as the final race and concludes an all-stakes Pick 4 sequence that commences with the $150,000 Stymie Stakes in Race 7. Here are my thoughts on the four-races and how I will attack the sequence: Race 7 The first of three races in the late Pick 4 conducted over Aqueduct’s one-turn mile [...]