How to calculate fair odds for Kentucky Derby future wagers

Maxfield winning the Claiborne Breeders' Futurity (G1) - Keeneland Photo When pondering a Kentucky Derby (G1) future wager, how do you draw the line between fair odds and odds too short to be worth the risk? It’s a multi-faceted question, dependent on timing, basic math and personal opinion. Shorter prices are more acceptable two or three months out from the Derby, when the key contenders are easier to identify. But if you’re looking to place a future wager [...]

Who Offers the Best Value in Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 4?

Improbable winning the Los Alamitos Futurity (gr. I) - © Benoit Photo The fourth and final 2019 Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool will open for wagering on Friday, April 5, providing bettors with one last opportunity to lock in a nice price on overlooked Derby contenders before the race is run four weeks from now. But here’s the thing—three major prep races are scheduled to be run on April 6, one day before the pool closes, so swings [...]

Four 50-1 Shots to Consider in Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3

Anothertwistafate winning the El Camino Real Derby - © Vassar Photography/Shane Micheli Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 will be open for betting this weekend, just in time for a massive Saturday of racing that includes four Road to the Kentucky Derby prep races. Heralded youngsters like Game Winner, Improbable, and Instagrand are among the favorites on the morning line, but if you’re like many bettors and want to lock in a big price on a horse with [...]

2019 Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager Pool: Who Offers the Best Value?

Will Take Charge (far left) charging to the wire in the 2013 Breeders' Cup Classic (gr. I) - Photo by © Breeders' Cup/Todd Buchanan 2013 If you’re planning to play Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 this weekend—and let’s face it, if you’re a Derby fan, how can you skip it?—you might also want to take a look at the lesser-known Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager Pool that will be available this weekend only, closing at approximately 6:30 [...]

2019 Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Three Longshots to Consider

Roadster winning his debut at Del Mar - © Benoit Photo On a busy weekend with two Kentucky Derby prep races in the United States and Japan, bettors will have an opportunity to lock in early value on some of the top Derby contenders thanks to Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1. This special wagering opportunity (which opens Thursday and runs through approximately 6:30 p.m. Eastern on Sunday) offers Derby fans a chance to get a bet down [...]

Deep field contests Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes

Gotta Go (left) beats Lone Sailor to win the Street Sense Stakes at Churchill Downs. Pic: Coady Photography. Champagne Stakes (G1) third-place finisher Enticed heads a Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2) field strong in numbers and potential at Churchill Downs Nov. 25. Fourteen horses are entered for the race, which carries qualifying points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby table. Enticed had two good horses in front of him in the Champagne Stakes: the winner Firenze Fire, [...]

Breeders’ Cup opens up discussion on 2018 Kentucky Derby

Firenze Fire (left) and Good Magic are both in the conversation about potential 2018 Kentucky Derby prospects. Photo: Coglianese Photos. Before the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, it seemed clear that Bolt d’Oro was not only going to win, he’d be a clear favorite for the 2018 Kentucky Derby. Now, with the race run and Bolt d’Oro finishing third, it’s not so obvious. Bolt d’Oro (Medaglia d’Oro) may have been suffering for his huge FrontRunner Stakes (G1) performance, and with [...]