Reflections on My Up-and-Down Derby Week Handicapping

Maximum Security and Country House battle to the wire in the Kentucky Derby - Coady Photography From a handicapping and wagering perspective, Kentucky Derby week at Churchill Downs was a mixed bag for me. If I’m being honest, the week got off on the wrong foot when my confident top choice for the Derby—Omaha Beach­­—scratched from the race with an entrapped epiglottis, which sent me scurrying to regroup and rethink my plays. Overall, the week was filled with [...]

2019 Kentucky Oaks/Kentucky Derby Double Will Pays

Serengeti Empress winning the Kentucky Oaks (G1) - Coady Photography The frontrunning 13-1 upset by #13 Serengeti Empress in the Kentucky Oaks (G1) at Churchill Downs has produced some eye-catching potential payoffs in the Kentucky Oaks/Kentucky Derby Double. Bettors who successfully picked Serengeti Empress in the first leg of the two-day double will be live to $1 payoffs between $110.60 and $1,679.30, depending on which horse(s) they paired her with in the Kentucky Derby. The complete list of “will [...]

2019 Kentucky Oaks: Main Track Should Be Fast and Fair

Break Even winning the Eight Belles Stakes (G2) - Coady Photography Overnight and early morning rainfall threatened to leave Churchill Downs wet and soggy for Kentucky Oaks Day, but after watching the first seven races on the card, it seems evident the rain will have no meaningful impact on the Oaks itself. Churchill Downs' main track has a reputation for drying out quickly, and with the temperature climbing past 70 degrees, the main track has steadily improved from [...]

How to Bet the Kentucky Oaks Pick 4

World of Trouble winning the Gulfstream Park Turf Sprint Stakes - © Leslie Martin/Adam Coglianese Photography Good luck to anyone playing the stakes-packed Pick 4 ending with the $1.25 million Kentucky Oaks (G1) at Churchill Downs this afternoon. It might require a big budget to hit. The sequence is filled with deep and competitive races, starting with the $500,000 La Troienne Stakes (G1), the eighth race on the card. #2 Blue Prize loves Churchill Downs, but she’s making her [...]

Kentucky Oaks Day: A Pick 3 Play for the Eight Belles Stakes

Newspaperofrecord winning the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1) - Coady Photography The graded stakes action on Kentucky Oaks Day at Churchill Downs kicks off in the fifth race, the $250,000 Eight Belles Stakes (G2) for three-year-old fillies. The seven-furlong sprint is also the first leg of a Pick 3 that includes the $250,000 Edgewood Stakes (G3) for sophomore fillies traveling a mile on turf and the $400,000 Alysheba Stakes (G2) for older horses negotiating 1 1/16 miles [...]

2019 Kentucky Oaks Day: Scratches, Changes and Course Conditions

The Twin Spires at Churchill Downs - Coady Photography Happy Kentucky Oaks Day! I hope you’re ready for an action-packed day of racing at Churchill Downs. The 13-race Friday card kicks off early at 10:30 a.m. ET and includes six graded stakes races. One of the topics everyone is discussing is how the weather will affect the track conditions. Rainfall has been plentiful in Louisville as of late, though a brief respite Thursday allowed the track to dry [...]