What are the 2019 Kentucky Derby Odds?

Omaha Beach winning the Rebel Stakes (G1) at Oaklawn Park - Coady Photography Thanks to impressive past performances, positive pre-race hype and a perfect post draw, Omaha Beach has been made the 4-1 morning line favorite for the 2019 Kentucky Derby (G1). That’s a shorter price than many handicappers were expecting, because this year’s Derby is viewed as more competitive than several others in recent memory. I view 4-1 as a fair price on Omaha Beach, who looms [...]

What Are the 2019 Kentucky Oaks Odds?

2019 Kentucky Oaks post position draw - Coady Photography On a quiet Monday morning, entries for the Kentucky Oaks (G1) were finalized during the much-anticipated post position draw at Churchill Downs. The 1 1/8-mile race for 3-year-old fillies carries a purse of $1.25 million and is scheduled to be run May 3, one day prior to the Kentucky Derby. The race will be shown live on NBCSN as part of a 6 1/2-hour broadcast that kicks off at noon [...]

2019 Kentucky Derby: Keeler Johnson’s Morning Line Projection

Churchill Downs - Coady Photography In recent years post-time favorites in the Kentucky Derby have been starting at relatively short prices, especially when you consider the uncommonly large size of the annual Derby field. This has coincided with a historic streak of six consecutive winning favorites. Orb, who prevailed in the 2013 Derby at odds of 5.40-1, has been the only member of the current streak to start above 5-1. He’s been followed into the Derby winner’s circle [...]

Post Positions (and Keeler Johnson’s Fair Odds Line) for the 2018 Preakness Stakes

Justify winning the Kentucky Derby - Coady Photography The good luck for Justify continued on Wednesday when the newly-crowned Kentucky Derby winner drew post position seven in the $1,500,000 Preakness Stakes (gr. I) at Pimlico Racecourse. The draw was essentially perfect for the unbeaten colt, who has been made the 1-2 morning line favorite for the May 19th classic. With just one rival drawn to his outside, Justify will have plenty of options to stay out of trouble and [...]

Keeler Johnson’s 2018 Kentucky Derby Fair Odds Line

Good Magic galloping under the Twin Spires - Coady Photography The field is set, the post positions have been drawn, and the countdown to the 144th running of the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve (gr. I) continues. One of the final factors that bettors will consider while handicapping the Derby is the morning line odds, which attempt to estimate how the public will bet the race. While the morning line odds are never a perfect match with the [...]