2018 Kentucky Derby: A Horse-By-Horse Recap

Justify winning the Kentucky Derby - Coady Photography The results of the 144th Kentucky Derby are in the history books, and it was a day for records to broken. Record rainfall. Record wagering. The demise of the fabled “Apollo Curse.” Throw in the fact that favored Justify delivered with a huge victory, and you have an unforgettable Kentucky Derby. But the Preakness and Belmont Stakes are still to come, so Triple Crown season is far from over. With an [...]

Betting the Kentucky Derby Trifecta on a $100 Budget

Coady Photography $5,464. Favorites may have won the last five renewals of the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve (gr. I), but the average payoff for the trifecta over that time frame has still been a hefty $5,464, because let’s face it—hitting the trifecta in a race with twenty horses isn’t easy. That said, I think the task could be more manageable this year because I feel strongly that #7 Justify stands above his rivals and will be [...]

Shapiro’s Final Verdict: Kentucky Derby 2018

Audible winning the Florida Derby (gr. I) - Photo by Adam Coglianese Photography We are just a few days out from the world-famous Kentucky Derby set to go to post at 6:50 local time on Saturday evening. The first leg of the Triple Crown has been as enjoyable as ever to analyze starting months ago given the talented crop set to break from the gates in the twelfth race on Saturday’s 14-race card at Churchill Downs. So without [...]

Keeler Johnson’s 2018 Kentucky Derby Fair Odds Line

Good Magic galloping under the Twin Spires - Coady Photography The field is set, the post positions have been drawn, and the countdown to the 144th running of the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve (gr. I) continues. One of the final factors that bettors will consider while handicapping the Derby is the morning line odds, which attempt to estimate how the public will bet the race. While the morning line odds are never a perfect match with the [...]

Keeler Johnson’s Kentucky Derby Top 10 — 4/24/18

Justify - © Benoit Photo Twelve days, folks. Just twelve days remain until twenty of the best three-year-old Thoroughbreds from North America and Europe vie for supremacy in the 2018 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs. Since the start of December, I’ve been compiling a weekly ranking of the top Kentucky Derby contenders, an enjoyable exercise that is equal parts challenging and fun. Many names have come and gone from my list, but now the prep races are complete [...]

Keeler Johnson’s Kentucky Derby Top 10 — 4/18/18

Magnum Moon winning the Arkansas Derby (gr. I) - Coady Photography It’s been a long and winding road, but the final prep races for the 2018 Kentucky Derby were run last Saturday, meaning that the field for the “Run for the Roses” is more or less established. From now until the Derby, the main focus will be on the pre-race workouts, with handicappers watching the morning training sessions to get a glimpse of each contender and gauge how [...]

My Boy Jack Earns Derby Berth in Lexington Stakes

My Boy Jack (green silks) winning the Lexington Stakes at Keeneland - Keeneland Photo/Coady Photography In recent years, the $200,000 Stonestreet Lexington Stakes (gr. II) at Keeneland hasn’t been the most significant of Kentucky Derby prep races. Although it offers 20 Derby qualification points to the winner, the Lexington hasn’t produced a Kentucky Derby starter since 2011, but that’s about to change thanks to My Boy Jack, who unleashed a strong late rally to win the 2018 Lexington [...]

Competitive Field Assembles for Lexington Stakes

My Boy Jack winning the Southwest Stakes (gr. III) at Oaklawn Park - Coady Photography Talk about a competitive race! Saturday’s $200,000 Lexington Stakes (gr. III) at Keeneland offers 20 Kentucky Derby qualification points to the winner, and since the timing of the race also makes it a viable prep race for the Preakness Stakes (gr. I), a huge field of twelve horses has been entered. On paper, there’s quite a bit of early speed in the Lexington [...]

Analyzing the Wild Finish of the Louisiana Derby

Noble Indy winning the Louisiana Derby (gr. II) at Fair Grounds - Hodges Photography/Lou Hodges, Jr. Thus far on the Road to the 2018 Kentucky Derby, I don’t think any prep race has produced a wilder finish than the $1 million Louisiana Derby (gr. II) at Fair Grounds. Befitting of the first prep race to offer 100 Derby qualification points to the winner, the Louisiana Derby drew a wide-open field of ten horse and featured more than its [...]

All-Stakes Pick 4 Analysis for Louisiana Derby Day at Fair Grounds

Fair Grounds Race Course takes center stage on Saturday afternoon as the meet’s premier event headlines a superb card of racing that commences at 12:30 PM local time. The Twin Spires.com Louisiana Derby drew a competitive field of ten colts led by the top two finishers in the Grade 2 Risen Star last month and Southwest Stakes winner My Boy Jack.  The one million dollar event concludes an all-stakes Pick 4 sequence that gets started in Race 8 with the [...]