Keeler Johnson’s Breeders’ Cup Distaff Top 10: Setbacks for the Favorites

Monomoy Girl winning the Kentucky Oaks (gr. I) - Coady Photography The disqualification of Monomoy Girl. The no-show effort from Abel Tasman. The season-ending injury to Elate. Suffice to say, the top contenders for the November 3rd Breeders’ Cup Distaff (gr. I) at Churchill Downs have had some setbacks in recent weeks, with the loss of Elate from the prospective field being a particularly unfortunate blow. But from a betting perspective, at least the race is shaping up to [...]

Why I’m Betting Elate in the Personal Ensign Stakes

Abel Tasman (left) beats Elate in the Coaching Club American Oaks. Photo: Coglianese Photos/Chelsea Durand. On paper, it’s not hard to reach the conclusion that Saturday’s $700,000 Personal Ensign Stakes (gr. I) at Saratoga is essentially a match race between #1 Abel Tasman and #6 Elate. That’s certainly an exciting prospect considering the fantastic show they put on over this track and distance in the Coaching Club American Oaks (gr. I) last summer, a race in which Abel [...]

How to Bet the Ogden Phipps Stakes

Abel Tasman winning the Kentucky Oaks (gr. I) - Coady Photography On paper, the key to handicapping Saturday’s $750,000 Ogden Phipps Stakes (gr. I) at Belmont Park might be determining whether #6 Abel Tasman is ready to rebound from a sub-par showing in her most recent start. Certainly Abel Tasman is by far the most accomplished filly in the Ogden Phipps field. Trained by Bob Baffert, the daughter of Quality Road won three Grade 1 races in 2017, [...]