Why I’m Betting Mr. Misunderstood in the River City Handicap

Mr. Misunderstood winning the Commonwealth Turf Stakes (gr. III) - Coady Photography He’s arguably the fastest horse on paper, he has a perfect record over the local turf course, and he’s dropping in class out of a Grade 1 race. What’s not to like about #3 Mr. Misunderstood in Saturday’s $100,000 River City Handicap (gr. III) at Churchill Downs? I certainly don’t see any convincing reasons to oppose him. Trained by Brad Cox, the four-year-old son of Archarcharch [...]

From Grade 1 to Grade 3: A Significant Class Drop

Oscar Nominated - Photo by Viola Jasko/Coglianese Photography It’s easy to understand how significant it can be when a racehorse drops from one class level to a lower class level. As we’ve discussed in the past, when a horse drops from a maiden special weight to a maiden claiming race, the easier competition will significantly increase that horse’s chance of winning. Another major drop in class comes when a proven Grade 1 competitor drops down to Grade 3 [...]

Idaho heads market for Canadian International

European horses have dominated the Pattinson Canadian International in recent years, and there’s every chance of more of the same in this year’s renewal at Woodbine Oct. 15. Aidan O’Brien’s Idaho is the 5-2 morning-line favorite in a field of 10 for the $C800,000 race, run over 1 ½-miles on the Woodbine turf. Idaho is a brother of the Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) winner Highland Reel, and though he hasn’t reached that level quite yet, he’s shown plenty of talent. [...]