How to Bet the 2019 Kentucky Derby

Maximum Security wins Florida Derby (Coglianese Photos) If you’ve been following all of the 2019 Kentucky Derby coverage here on BetAmerica, you’re probably aware the scratch of morning line favorite #12 Omaha Beach has thrown my Derby handicapping into disarray. He was ranked on top in my final Kentucky Derby Top 10. He was the only horse listed as an overlay on my fair odds line. He was ranked as my lone win candidate when I split the [...]

How is Keeler Johnson Playing the 2019 Kentucky Derby?

Omaha Beach (right) holds off Game Winner (left) in the Rebel Stakes (G2) - Coady Photography While I’m still plotting out my wagering strategy for the 2019 Kentucky Derby, I’ve essentially nailed down my overall opinions of each horse and have determined whether I’ll be using them on my tickets. The Tuesday morning post position draw helped clarify my position on a few bubble contenders, including War of Will and Spinoff. I’ve sorted the 20 horses into four [...]

What are the 2019 Kentucky Derby Odds?

Omaha Beach winning the Rebel Stakes (G1) at Oaklawn Park - Coady Photography Thanks to impressive past performances, positive pre-race hype and a perfect post draw, Omaha Beach has been made the 4-1 morning line favorite for the 2019 Kentucky Derby (G1). That’s a shorter price than many handicappers were expecting, because this year’s Derby is viewed as more competitive than several others in recent memory. I view 4-1 as a fair price on Omaha Beach, who looms [...]

Winners and Losers at the 2019 Kentucky Derby Post Position Draw

War of Will winning the Lecomte Stakes (Hodges Photo/Fair Grounds) Who drew well and who drew poorly when post positions for the 2019 Kentucky Derby (G1) were assigned Tuesday morning? Three of the 20 horses received highly favorable post positions, while three others were compromised by their assignments. Who were these “winners” and “losers” at the post draw? Winners #3 By My Standards He showed in the Louisiana Derby (G2) he doesn’t mind racing inside of horses, and with [...]

Who is Running in the 2019 Kentucky Derby?

Morning line favorite Omaha Beach drew post #12 in the 2019 Kentucky Derby - Coady Photography Omaha Beach was shaping up to be the favorite for the 2019 Kentucky Derby (G1), even beforethe Tuesday morning post position draw at Churchill Downs, but when the talented colt drew favorably in post position #12, his status as favorite was most assuredly cemented. Omaha Beach was the penultimate horse to be assigned a post position, and there was a 50-50 chance [...]

2019 Kentucky Derby Jockey Assignments, Facts and Trends

Jockey Mike Smith aboard Kentucky Derby winner Justify - Coady Photography It is often said that jockeys are unable to make horses run beyond their abilities, but the difference between victory and defeat can come down to the skills of a rider in saving ground, timing moves correctly and riding hard to the finish line. That’s why the 20 jockeys who will compete in the 2019 Kentucky Derby (G1) include the most talented riders in North America. Leading [...]

Which Horses Should You Bet in the 2019 Kentucky Derby?

The field rounds the first turn of the 2018 Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) at Churchill Downs - Coady Photography We’re less than 24 hours away from the 2019 Kentucky Derby post position draw, but with the field essentially set, it isn’t too early to start pondering betting strategies. But which horses should you bet on the first Saturday in May? That depends on what you’re looking for. Are you searching for the most likely winner? The most likely [...]

Which Horses Should You Avoid Betting in the Kentucky Derby?

Plus Que Parfait wins the UAE Derby (DRC/Neville Hopwood) When it comes to handicapping the Kentucky Derby and playing complex wagers like the trifecta and superfecta, eliminating horses from consideration is often just as helpful as identifying the horses you like. Simply qualifying to the Derby is an accomplishment in and of itself, so it goes without saying that the 20 horses who will line up in the Churchill Downs starting gate are all talented individuals. But in [...]

Keeler Johnson’s Kentucky Derby Top 10: The Final Rankings

Omaha Beach winning the Arkansas Derby (G1) - Coady Photography The major workouts are complete, most of the contenders have arrived at Churchill Downs and just five days remain until the 145th running of the Kentucky Derby. I’ve been sharing my Kentucky Derby Top 10 rankings every week since the beginning of November, when Game Winner, Improbable, Code of Honor and Roadster, comprised four of my top five horses. Six months later they still rank among the main names in [...]

2019 Kentucky Derby: Trainers, Facts and Trends

Bode Baffert (and Mike Smith) holds up the Derby trophy as his father, trainer Bob Baffert (second from left), enjoys the moment after Justify won the 144th running of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs (Skip Dickstein/Times Union) Some of the best-known trainers in North American horse racing will be represented by major contenders in the 2019 Kentucky Derby, but as usual, the “Run for the Roses” will make room for a few newcomers as well. Sixteen different [...]