Handicapping 101: How smart ticket building can increase profits

Cairo Cat (left) rallies to defeat Tight Ten in the Iroquois Stakes (gr. III) at Churchill Downs - Coady Photography It happens all the time—a handicapper determines Horse #3 is a near-certain winner. They determine Horses #5 and #7 are the most likely to finish second, while rating a slim chance to beat Horse #3 across the finish line. So what does this handicapper do? All too often they elect to box #3, #5 and #7 in the [...]

How to bet vertical wagers at the Breeders’ Cup

Multi-races wagers might be among the most popular betting options at the Breeders’ Cup, but if you have a strong opinion about the probable outcome of a single race, "vertical" wagers are the way to go.

How to bet the exotics in the 2019 Prioress Stakes

Break Even winning the Eight Belles Stakes (gr. II) - Coady Photography On paper, Saturday’s $250,000 Prioress Stakes (G2) at Saratoga is shaping up to be a race between two just competitors—#3 Break Even and the clock. That’s how dominant Break Even appears to be in this six-furlong sprint for three-year-old fillies. Trained by Brad Cox, the daughter of Country Day has gone undefeated in six starts, repeatedly using her blazing speed to sprint her rivals off their feet. With [...]

Saturday spot plays for Churchill Downs

Bobby's Wicked One turns for home in command of the Commonwealth Stakes (G3) - Keeneland Photo Proving once again that there’s more to racing at Churchill Downs than the first Saturday in May, the Louisville racetrack has put together a solid evening of competitive events for Saturday. The 11-race card kicks off at 6 p.m. ET and includes two stakes races, the $125,000 Aristides Stakes and the $120,000 Mighty Beau Stakes. Let’s go through the action and look [...]

How to Bet the 2019 Kentucky Derby

Maximum Security wins Florida Derby (Coglianese Photos) If you’ve been following all of the 2019 Kentucky Derby coverage here on BetAmerica, you’re probably aware the scratch of morning line favorite #12 Omaha Beach has thrown my Derby handicapping into disarray. He was ranked on top in my final Kentucky Derby Top 10. He was the only horse listed as an overlay on my fair odds line. He was ranked as my lone win candidate when I split the [...]

Alwaysmining Stands Out in Federico Tesio Stakes

When six horses line up to contest the $125,000 Federico Tesio Stakes at Laurel Park, it’s hard to imagine any outcome other than a resounding victory for #2 Alwaysmining. On paper the son of Stay Thirsty towers over the field and will be an overwhelming favorite to claim victory in the 1 1/8-mile race, which serves as a prep for the Preakness Stakes (G1) four weeks from now. Speed figures? Alwaysmining has fired off four straight 91+ BRIS speed ratings, [...]

Speed, Pace Figures Give Jaywalk Clear Advantage in Davona Dale Stakes

Jaywalk winning the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (gr. I) - Coady Photography On paper, there isn’t much in the way of early speed in Saturday’s $200,000 Davona Dale Stakes (gr. II) at Gulfstream Park, and that should play to the strengths of champion #1 Jaywalk as she makes her much-anticipated three-year-old debut. After finishing second in her debut at Monmouth last summer, Jaywalk rattled off four straight victories with complete authority. She got better as the year progressed, [...]

How to Bet the Las Virgenes Stakes

Bellafina winning the Sorrento Stakes (gr. II) at Del Mar - © BENOIT PHOTO In my opinion, the only way to make a meaningful profit playing Saturday’s $200,000 Las Virgenes Stakes (gr. II) at Santa Anita is to play the exotics straight and hope that your selections are absolutely perfect. Just five three-year-old fillies have been entered in this one-mile Road to the Kentucky Oaks prep race, and on paper, the four-time graded stakes winner #3 Bellafina towers [...]

Should You Bet Deep Closers in the Pegasus World Cup?

Question: Will deep closers who rally from the back of the pack have any chance to contend for a significant piece of the purse in the 2019 Pegasus World Cup (gr. I) at Gulfstream Park? It seems like nine-furlong races at Gulfstream Park often receive special scrutiny since they start so close to the first turn and there’s always concern about horses drawn outside getting hung wide and losing all chance. But might the running style of each individual horse [...]

Keying Audible in the Harlan’s Holiday Stakes

Audible winning the Holy Bull Stakes (gr. II) at Gulfstream Park - Photo by Leslie Martin/Coglianese Photography On a stakes-packed day of racing at Gulfstream Park, one of the highlights is the $100,000 Harlan’s Holiday Stakes (gr. III), a 1 1/16-mile event that serves as a logical steppingstone toward the $9 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational (gr. I) six weeks from now. The overwhelming favorite figures to be #1 Audible, who has not run a bad race in [...]