Speed, Pace Figures Give Jaywalk Clear Advantage in Davona Dale Stakes

Jaywalk winning the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (gr. I) - Coady Photography On paper, there isn’t much in the way of early speed in Saturday’s $200,000 Davona Dale Stakes (gr. II) at Gulfstream Park, and that should play to the strengths of champion #1 Jaywalk as she makes her much-anticipated three-year-old debut. After finishing second in her debut at Monmouth last summer, Jaywalk rattled off four straight victories with complete authority. She got better as the year progressed, [...]

How to Bet the Las Virgenes Stakes

Bellafina winning the Sorrento Stakes (gr. II) at Del Mar - © BENOIT PHOTO In my opinion, the only way to make a meaningful profit playing Saturday’s $200,000 Las Virgenes Stakes (gr. II) at Santa Anita is to play the exotics straight and hope that your selections are absolutely perfect. Just five three-year-old fillies have been entered in this one-mile Road to the Kentucky Oaks prep race, and on paper, the four-time graded stakes winner #3 Bellafina towers [...]

Should You Bet Deep Closers in the Pegasus World Cup?

Question: Will deep closers who rally from the back of the pack have any chance to contend for a significant piece of the purse in the 2019 Pegasus World Cup (gr. I) at Gulfstream Park? It seems like nine-furlong races at Gulfstream Park often receive special scrutiny since they start so close to the first turn and there’s always concern about horses drawn outside getting hung wide and losing all chance. But might the running style of each individual horse [...]

Keying Audible in the Harlan’s Holiday Stakes

Audible winning the Holy Bull Stakes (gr. II) at Gulfstream Park - Photo by Leslie Martin/Coglianese Photography On a stakes-packed day of racing at Gulfstream Park, one of the highlights is the $100,000 Harlan’s Holiday Stakes (gr. III), a 1 1/16-mile event that serves as a logical steppingstone toward the $9 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational (gr. I) six weeks from now. The overwhelming favorite figures to be #1 Audible, who has not run a bad race in [...]

How to Bet the Exotics in the Remsen Stakes

Network Effect winning his debut at Saratoga - Photo by NYRA/Adam Coglianese Photography If you’re among the many handicappers who figure to place their betting dollars on #5 Network Effect in Saturday’s $250,000 Remsen Stakes (gr. II) at Aqueduct, I certainly can’t blame you. What’s not to like? He’s got the powerful team of trainer Chad Brown and jockey Javier Castellano in his corner, and he’s done little wrong in two starts to date. After breaking his maiden by [...]

Why I’m Betting River Boyne in the Rainbow Stakes

The field breaks from the gate in the 2018 American Turf Stakes - Coady Photography While five-horse fields aren’t usually where you look to find good betting value, if you have a strong opinion on one of the runners, why not try to capitalize? That’s my feeling when handicapping Saturday’s $100,000 Rainbow Stakes at Santa Anita. The field is small, but I’m confident that the 1-1 morning line favorite #4 River Boyne will be very tough to beat [...]

Looking for Value in the Belmont Stakes

Justify winning the Preakness Stakes (gr. I) - Jim McCue Photography There are two ways to approach choosing a “top selection” for a horse race. One is to identify the most likely winner. The other is to identify the horse offering the best wagering value. The tricky part is that they aren’t always the same horse. The most likely winner might be an obvious choice on paper, leading to very short odds that don’t reflect his actual odds [...]

Keying Justify in the Belmont Could Produce Better Payoffs Than You Think

Justify winning the Kentucky Derby - Coady Photography So let’s say you’re convinced that the unbeaten Justify will keep his perfect record intact with a victory in the June 9th Belmont Stakes (gr. I) at Belmont Park, in the process becoming the thirteenth horse to sweep the Triple Crown. Thanks to his determined victories in the Kentucky Derby (gr. I) and Preakness Stakes (gr. I), Justify will be a heavy favorite to emulate his Bob Baffert-trained predecessor American Pharoah [...]

Why I’m Keying Justify in the Preakness Stakes Exotics

Jockey Mike Smith aboard Kentucky Derby winner Justify - Coady Photography It’s the question that all handicappers are asking right now—what’s the best way to make a meaningful profit betting on Saturday’s $1,500,000 Preakness Stakes (gr. I) at Pimlico? With the impressive Kentucky Derby (gr. I) winner #7 Justify the heavy favorite at 1-2 on the morning line, and with the most likely upset candidate #5 Good Magic listed at just 3-1, it could be tricky to put together [...]

Experience Versus Potential in the Santa Anita Derby

Bolt d'Oro (left) and McKinzie battle to the wire in the San Felipe Stakes (gr. II) - © Benoit Photo We’ve already seen some memorable showdowns on the Road to the 2018 Kentucky Derby, but arguably the best of all is still to come in Saturday’s $1 million Santa Anita Derby (gr. I) at Santa Anita Park. Although the race drew seven starters, all eyes will be on #6 Justify and #3 Bolt d’Oro, who are currently ranked first and [...]