Well Defined Sprints Away From Rivals in Sam F. Davis Stakes

Well Defined winning the Sam F. Davis Stakes (gr. III) - Photo by SV Photography The $250,000 Sam F. Davis Stakes (gr. III) at Tampa Bay Downs was supposed to feature a fast pace and a speed duel between a few of the prominent front-runners in the field. But Well Defined simply laughed at that notion, waltzing along on an uncontested lead to win the race in dominant fashion. Equipped with blinkers for the first time, Well Defined [...]

Is Knicks Go Vulnerable in the Sam F. Davis?

Knicks Go winning the Claiborne Breeders' Futurity (gr. I) - Keeneland Photo I don’t think anyone will deny that #3 Knicks Go was among the best two-year-olds of 2018, but that doesn’t mean that he’ll be unbeatable in Saturday’s $250,000 Sam F. Davis Stakes (gr. III) at Tampa Bay Downs. Knicks Go will surely be favored in the 1 1/16-mile Road to the Kentucky Derby prep race, but he’ll be making his first start in 2 ½ months [...]

Talented 2yos Take Center Stage at Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs Scenic (SV Photography) With the 2019 Kentucky Derby (gr. I) and Kentucky Oaks (gr. I) looming on the distant horizon, Tampa Bay Downs will kick off their annual schedule of stakes races for young Derby and Oaks contenders with the Inaugural Stakes and Sandpiper Stakes on December 15th. These six-furlong sprints, one for colts and one for fillies, serve as stepping stones toward more significant two-turn tests at the Florida track in 2019, including as [...]

Using Trainer Angles in Handicapping, Part 1

William "Buff" Bradley - Keeneland Photo/Coady Photography Handicapping horse races involves many factors, and among the most popular (and lucrative) is analyzing the records of trainers to identify the areas where they excel. For examples, some trainers—such as the two-time Eclipse Award winner Chad Brown—have an outstanding reputation for training turf horses. Others, such as the Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert, are known for their skill at training dirt horses. One of my favorite angles involves horses [...]

Quip Posts 19-1 Upset in Tampa Bay Derby

Quip winning the Tampa Bay Derby (gr. II) - SV Photography We’ve seen some significant upsets so far on the Kentucky Derby trail, more than in recent years, and the trend of longshot winners continued on March 10th when Quip posted a 19-1 upset in the Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby (gr. II) at Tampa Bay Downs. On paper, the 8.5-furlong race was supposed to feature a battle for the lead between the speedy World of Trouble and the [...]