5 runners hindered by the slow rail on Travers Day

While the the Travers Day equine exploits have received plenty of press, significant focus has been placed on the way Saratoga’s main track played during the busy afternoon.

Deciphering Track Biases, Part 2

Super Saver and jockey Calvin Borel after winning the 2010 Kentucky Derby (Photo by Churchill Downs/Reed Palmer Photography) Wouldn’t it be nice if we could predict when track biases will appear and wager accordingly, yielding impressive profits while simultaneous gaining some bragging rights? Perhaps it sounds far-fetched, but truthfully, it’s not as hard as it sounds. We already discussed last week how to capitalize on a bias in the weeks that follow its appearance; now we’ll delve into [...]

Deciphering Track Biases, Part 1

Churchill Downs - Coady Photography Track biases… is there a more mysterious aspect of handicapping horse races? Maybe, but I'm not sure what it would be. In essence, track biases are simple enough. Their name says it all—some tracks can be biased toward horses racing on the lead, or horses rallying from off the pace. Other tracks can favor horses racing on the inside; other times, the inside is deeper, and horses racing on the outside have an [...]

Questions of track bias raised by Breeders’ Cup

Del Mar's surface became a major talking point after the 2017 Breeders' Cup. Photo: Benoit Photo. Del Mar’s first Breeders’ Cup proved notable for its multiple shocks as well as for its great performances. When results like these happen, questions invariably get asked about whether there was any kind of track bias. The only favorites to win were both on turf: World Approval (5-2) in the Mile on Saturday, and Mendelssohn in the Juvenile Turf – and at [...]