MLB Daily Pick for Thursday Baseball
Cleveland Indians (72-49) at New York Yankees (81-41), 7:05 p.m. ET

Team Run LineMoneylineO/U
Cleveland Indians+1.5 (-140)+140O 10.5 (-120)
New York Yankees-1.5 (+120)-155U 10.5 (+100)

MLB free play: Over 10.5 runs

The Cleveland Indians have many talented starters on their pitching staff. Adam Plutko (4-3, 4.68 ERA) is not one of them. The 27-year-old right-hander sports a career 5.07 ERA and is fresh off a disheartening 4-3 loss to the Minnesota Twins, in which he gave up a pair of home runs (one may still be in orbit).

Plutko will have his hands full with a Yankees squad that ranks in the top five league-wide in (big intake of air) runs, home runs, RBIs, total bases, batting average, on base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS.

New York has averaged 8.25 runs over its last four games and is entirely capable of surpassing today’s run total without the slightest bit of help from Cleveland’s bats (although Yankees starter Chad Green will likely surrender a run or two as well). Take the over and reap the rewards.

Chicago Cubs (64-56) at Philadelphia Phillies (62-58), 7:05 p.m. ET

Team Run LineMoneylineO/U
Chicago Cubs-1.5 (+110)-135O 9.5 (-115)
Philadelphia Phillies+1.5 (-130)+125U 9.5 (-105)

MLB free play: Over 7.5 runs in seven innings

If chicks dig the long ball, as Tom Glavine once famously professed, then they’re really going to dig tonight’s tilt between the Cubs and Phillies , which features Yu Darvish (4-6, 4.43 ERA) and Drew Smyly (2-6, 6.96)

The Cubs had big expectations for Darvish entering his second season in Chicago, but the 32-year-old Japanese hurler has largely been a bust. Darvish has the the second-highest ERA of his career and leads the National League in most home runs surrendered. The former all-star gave up three home runs in his last start August 9 and is ripe to be picked apart by Philadelphia’s potent lineup.

Smyly has also given up more than his fair share of round-trippers. The Little Rock, Arkansas native has been taken deep 23 times in his 17 games split between Texas and Philadelphia, and was rocked for six runs in his most recent outing.

Neither pitcher will last long, but they should be able to do plenty of damage in their brief time on the bump. Take the over on the modest 7.5 run total for the first seven innings of the game.


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